Sports gambling are often very profitable if a person know the secrets often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that clever money gamblers use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. My partner and i analyzed the Western world California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the game. Nonetheless My spouse and i also recognized that there were a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not gamble on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This video game offers all the indications of being one involving the ideal games involving the year, having the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming back again from staying down large in the 4th 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure appear like this year?

In case this game were getting played from a good basic field, West Virginia might probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost considering that Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS as well. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 PATH games.

These are some very impressive stats that tilt the particular scales in favor involving WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, this added bonus offer is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. www.ufabet168s.com/%e0%b9%81%e0%b8%97%e0%b8%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2 will likely not seem like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that spare point might make the big difference between the push in addition to a loss.

But you may be wondering what about Louisville?

Louisville’s statistics are almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very last 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their very last 10 home games.

In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t dropped at home since January 17, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game at home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 6 points per game from home. In case you decided not to do the figures, that means since their very own last home reduction they are yet to averaged beating his or her oppositions by means of about 34 things per game.

Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by way of 13 points per game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual go against that?

Here’s how…

Almost all of those stats ended up piled up during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have experienced recent games through which they are yet to only scored 36, 12, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Iowa St. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.

To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a new close game to call. Nonetheless what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s not any explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to middle of the 20’s. My honest recommendation is to lay off this kind of game and not really gamble at all. There usually are better game titles this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for some sort of TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe has not been so big which they may still win immediately after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on that activity, people critical regarding wagering saved money many people can put to better work with on future games.