Sports gambling is often very profitable if a person know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a best case in point. I actually analyzed typically the Western Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Florida had the edge in the video game. However , I also understood that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not bet on that game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This game possesses all the signals of being one of the very best games connected with the year, having equally teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming back again from becoming down big in the final 1 fourth to winning within overtime.
So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?
In the event this game were getting played at a new simple field, West Va will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Las vegas Tech. In the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last dokuz game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, the added in reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not seem like much, but in a in close proximity match-up like this, that more point might make the difference between a push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, UFABETเว็บไหนดี is even so 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home video games.
In addition to if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since December 20, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points for every game in your own home, while hitting only stopping 15. six points for every game with home. In case you decided not to do the math, that means considering their very own last home loss they already have averaged beating his or her opposing team simply by about 34 factors per game.
What’s more amazing, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by means of 13 things per sport at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
The majority of those stats were being established during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They’ve acquired recent games where they’ve only scored 28, 12, 24 points. And these game titles weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
Basically of which this is still a close game to get in touch with. Nonetheless the things i look for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion is definitely to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily guess at all. There are better activities this saturday and sunday with more simple strengths.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to gain a punt for the TD. The results was of which West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they could very well still win soon after building so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this activity, people significant with regards to wagering saved money they can put to better work with on upcoming games.