Sports playing are often very profitable if an individual know the strategies the “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western world Florida vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Nonetheless We also noticed that there was a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on this specific game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:

West Florida versus Louisville

This game provides all the signs of being one associated with the most effective games associated with the year, together with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, with West Virginia coming again from getting down major in the fourth fraction to winning inside overtime.

So what’s the overall game appearance like this year?

When this sport were appearing played on a fairly neutral field, West California might probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented move. These people haven’t lost since Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Florida Tech. On the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their very last 10 STREET games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s game. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that spare point will make the change between a new push and even a loss.

But what concerning Louisville?

Louisville’s stats may be almost as good like WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular previous 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home game titles.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 , eighteen, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game in your house, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points every game in home. In case you did not do the mathmatical, that means given that their last home loss they’ve averaged beating their very own opponents by about thirty four details per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the divide, on average, by way of 13 things per game at home due to the fact the year 2003.

Wow… how can www.ufabet168s.com/ufabet not in favor of that?

Here’s the way…

Most of those stats were accumulated during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They’ve had recent games that has they already have only scored 28, 23, 24 points. These video games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. They ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

In essence of which this is still a new close activity to call up. Nonetheless what I look with regard to is West Virginia’s security to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no explanation to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle 20’s. My honest advice is usually to lay off this particular game and certainly not guarantee at all. There will be better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to come back a new punt for a new TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big which they could still win right after building so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that game, people serious about wagering saved money they will can offer better make use of on future games.